Oil rally pauses; Middle East, Hurricane Milton concerns remain

Investing.com — Oil prices fell Tuesday, hit by a degree of profit-taking after the worsening conflict in the Middle East drove strong gains through the past week. 

At 08:05 ET (12:05 GMT), Brent oil futures fell 2% to $79.30 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 2.1% to $75.53 a barrel. 

Both benchmark contracts rose more than 3% on Monday to their highest since late August, adding to last week’s rally of 8%, the biggest weekly gain in over a year.

Lack of new Chinese measures weigh

Weighing on the crude markets Tuesday was the lack of new stimulus measures from the Chinese authorities as the country returned from its week-long holiday.

China said on Tuesday it was “fully confident” of achieving its full-year growth target but refrained from introducing stronger fiscal steps, disappointing investors who had banked on more support for the economy.

Disappointment over the strength of the Chinese economic recovery has been on the main weights holding the crude market back, given China’s role as the world’s largest crude importer.

Fears of Middle East escalation persist 

Fears of an escalation in the Middle East remained the biggest point of support for oil markets, as fighting between Israel and Hezbollah forces intensified this week. Hezbollah fired hundreds of missiles into Israeli territory on Monday, while Israel looked to increase its offensive against Lebanon.

This came after Iran fired scores of missiles against Israel last week, as retaliation for its offensives against Hamas and Hezbollah. 

Monday marked a year since Hamas attacks against Israeli targets sparked a renewed war between the two, with the conflict showing few signs of deescalation. 

Oil bulls bet that a worsening conflict will disrupt oil supplies from the Middle East, especially if Israel attacks Iran’s oil facilities. 

Hurricane Milton in focus 

Oil markets were also watching for the impact of Hurricane Milton on U.S. oil production, with the storm set to pass through the Gulf of Mexico before making landfall at the west coast of Florida this week. 

While the hurricane is expected to miss most oil infrastructure in the Gulf of Mexico, several ports in the region were seen imposing restrictions, which could potentially disrupt oil shipments. 

API crude inventories due 

The latest U.S. crude oil inventory data, from the American Petroleum Institute, is due later in the session, and analysts expect stocks to rise by 1.9 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 4, according to a preliminary Reuters poll.

The official tally from the Energy Information Administration is scheduled for release on Wednesday.

 

(Ambar Warrick contributed to this article.)

This post is originally published on INVESTING.

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