USD/JPY: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 04.10.24 – 11.10.24

The article covers the following subjects:

Highlights and key points

  • Main scenario: once the correction ends, consider long positions above the level of 141.63 with a target of 151.51 – 153.88. A buy signal: the price holds above 141.63. Stop Loss: below 140.00, Take Profit: 151.51 – 153.88.
  • Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of 141.63 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 131.25 – 123.97. A sell signal: once the level of 141.63 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 142.50, Take Profit: 131.25 – 123.97.

Main scenario

Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 141.63 with a target of 151.51 – 153.88.

Alternative scenario

Breakout and consolidation below the level of 141.63 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 131.25 – 123.97.

Analysis

The ascending wave of larger degree 3 has presumably finished developing on the daily chart, with wave (5) of 3 formed as its part. On the H4 chart, a descending correction is developing as the fourth wave of larger degree 4, within which wave (А) of 4 is formed and wave (B) of 4 is unfolding. Apparently, wave С of (В) is developing on the H1 chart, with the third wave of smaller degree iii of C presumably forming as its part. If this assumption is correct, the USDJPY pair will continue to rise to 151.51 – 153.88. The level of 141.63 is critical in this scenario as a breakout will enable the pair to continue declining to the levels of 131.25 – 123.97.



Price chart of USDJPY in real time mode

The content of this article reflects the author’s opinion and does not necessarily reflect the official position of LiteFinance. The material published on this page is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2004/39/EC.

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