USD/СAD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 09.05.25 – 16.05.25

09May.202512:58

The article covers the following subjects:

Major Takeaways

  • Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.3753 with a target of 1.4300 – 1.4800. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.3753. Stop Loss: below 1.3720, Take Profit: 1.4300 – 1.4800.
  • Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.3753 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.3575 – 1.3427. A sell signal: the level of 1.3753 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.3790, Take Profit: 1.3575 – 1.3427.

Main scenario

Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.3753 with a target of 1.4300 – 1.4800.

Alternative scenario

Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.3753 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.3575 – 1.3427.

Analysis

The ascending fifth wave of larger degree 5 presumably continues developing on the weekly chart, with wave (5) of 5 forming as its part. The third wave of the smaller degree 3 of (5) appears to have formed on the daily chart. A local correction seems to have completed as the fourth wave 4 of (5), with wave c of 4 fully formed as its part. Apparently, the fifth wave 5 of (5) has started developing on the H4 time frame, with wave (i) of i of 5 developing as its part. If the presumption is correct, the USD/CAD pair will continue to rise to the levels of 1.4300 – 1.4800. The level of 1.3753 is critical in this scenario as its breakout will enable the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.3575 – 1.3427.

This forecast is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. When developing trading strategies, it is essential to consider fundamental factors, as the market situation can change at any time.



Price chart of USDCAD in real time mode

The content of this article reflects the author’s opinion and does not necessarily reflect the official position of LiteFinance broker. The material published on this page is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2014/65/EU.

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