The article covers the following subjects:
Major Takeaways
- Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.0200 with a target of 1.0632 – 1.0940. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.0200. Stop Loss: below 1.0170, Take Profit: 1.0632 – 1.0940.
- Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.0200 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 0.9950 – 0.9526. A sell signal: the level of 1.0200 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.0230, Take Profit: 0.9950 – 0.9526.
Main Scenario
Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.0200 with a target of 1.0632 – 1.0940.
Alternative Scenario
Breakdown and consolidation below a level of 1.0200 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels 0.9950 – 0.9526.
Analysis
The daily time frame shows that an ascending first wave of larger degree (1) is formed, a descending correction has presumably developed as second wave (2), and the third wave (3) has started unfolding. Wave С of (2) appears to have formed on the H4 time frame, with the fifth wave of smaller degree v of C completed as its part. The first counter-trend wave i of 1 of (3) is presumably developing on the H1 time frame, within which a local corrective wave (ii) of i is completed. If the presumption is correct, the EUR/USD pair will continue to rise to the levels of 1.0632 – 1.0940. The level of 1.0200 is critical in this scenario. Its breakout will allow the pair to continue falling to the levels of 0.9950 – 0.9526.
This forecast is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. When developing trading strategies, it is essential to consider fundamental factors, as the market situation can change at any time.
Price chart of EURUSD in real time mode
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