Dollar hovers around 1-mth low as soft CPI data spurs rate cut bets

Investing.com– The dollar steadied against a basket of currencies on Friday after softer-than-expected inflation data saw the greenback sink to one-month lows, amid increased bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September.

Broader foreign exchange markets were somewhat cautious amid volatility in the Japanese yen. The Japanese currency strengthened sharply on late-Thursday, which sparked speculation over whether the Japanese government had intervened in currency markets.

The euro moved little against the dollar German wholesale price index inflation data read slightly weaker than expected for June. The EURUSD pair steadied after surging to an over one-month high against the dollar on Thursday.

The British pound was also flat, with the GBPUSD pair moving little after rallying to a near one-year high against the dollar on Thursday. The pound was also buoyed by data on Thursday which showed the British economy grew more than expected in May.

Dollar near 1-mth low as soft CPI spurs rate cut bets 

The dollar index and dollar index futures steadied on Friday after tumbling to a one-month low in overnight trade.

The greenback was battered by softer-than-expected CPI data, which showed inflation cooled a smidge more than expected in June. 

The reading ramped up bets that the Federal Reserve will have more confidence to begin cutting interest rates.

Traders were seen pricing in a 83.4% chance the Fed will cut rates in September, compared to a 64.7% chance seen last week, according to CME Fedwatch.

Japanese yen volatile after USDJPY tumbles from 161; intervention in focus 

The Japanese yen was volatile in Friday trade, with the USDJPY pair rising 0.2% to about 159.18 yen.

The pair slid over 2% on Thursday after the soft U.S. CPI report, dropping from levels close to a 38-year high, which it had hit earlier in July.

But the sharp drop in the yen sparked questions over whether the Japanese government was actively intervening in currency markets. Officials gave scant cues on the matter, even after offering a string of warnings in recent weeks over betting aggressively against the yen.

Data on the Bank of Japan’s balance sheet, due later in July, is expected to offer more clarity on whether the government did intervene. Traders also speculated whether short positions on the yen were squeezed by a sharp decline in the dollar, following the weak CPI reading for June. 

This post is originally published on INVESTING.

  • Related Posts

    Kazakhstan votes on whether to build first nuclear plant

    ALMATY (Reuters) – Kazakhstan votes in a referendum on Sunday on whether to build its first nuclear power plant, an idea promoted by President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev’s government as the Central…

    Oil settles up, biggest weekly gains in over a year on Middle East war risk

    By Shariq Khan NEW YORK (Reuters) -Oil prices rose on Friday and settled with their biggest weekly gains in over a year on the mounting threat of a region-wide war…

    Leave a Reply

    Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

    You Missed

    Kazakhstan votes on whether to build first nuclear plant

    • October 6, 2024
    Kazakhstan votes on whether to build first nuclear plant

    Factors Driving Exchange Rates

    • October 5, 2024
    Factors Driving Exchange Rates

    How Central Bank Digital Currencies Could Transform Payments?

    • October 5, 2024
    How Central Bank Digital Currencies Could Transform Payments?

    The Essential Guide to Currency Pairs for Confident Forex Trading

    • October 5, 2024
    The Essential Guide to Currency Pairs for Confident Forex Trading

    Weekly Focus: Czechia Will not Regulate Prop Demo Accounts, Saxo Exits Hong Kong, and More

    • October 5, 2024
    Weekly Focus: Czechia Will not Regulate Prop Demo Accounts, Saxo Exits Hong Kong, and More

    Oil settles up, biggest weekly gains in over a year on Middle East war risk

    • October 4, 2024
    Oil settles up, biggest weekly gains in over a year on Middle East war risk