Asia FX weak as yen falls from 7-mth peak; Aussie firms on hawkish RBA

Investing.com– Most Asian currencies weakened slightly on Tuesday as the dollar steadied from a recent rout, with the Japanese yen falling from seven-month peaks.

The Australian dollar was among the better performers in the region, firming after the Reserve Bank of Australia kept rates unchanged but struck a hawkish chord amid sticky inflation in the country. 

Still, sentiment towards regional markets remained fragile, especially as fears of a U.S. recession remained in play, while the unwinding of the yen carry trade also sparked widespread outflows from the region. 

Yen falls from 7-mth peak, but strong wages herald resilience

The Japanese yen weakened on Tuesday, with the USDJPY pair surging nearly 1% from its weakest levels in seven months. The pair had fallen as low as the mid-141 yen levels.

The yen benefited from increased safe haven demand as broader financial markets crashed. Hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan- which raised interest rates and flagged more hikes- also boosted the currency, as did an unwinding carry trade. 

Strong wage data– which showed a consistent pick-up in earnings through June- also furthered the BOJ’s outlook that increased wages will drive up spending and inflation this year.

But household spending data missed expectations in June, contracting more than expected from last year. 

Australian dollar firms as RBA waxes hawkish 

The Australian dollar firmed, with the AUDUSD pair rising 0.2%after the RBA kept rates steady as widely expected.

But the central bank said it will keep policy restrictive in the coming months, citing pressure from sticky inflation. While the bank did not explicitly mention the potential for more rate hikes, it said it was prepared to undertake any measures to bring down inflation.

Analysts do not expect the RBA to hike rates further, with second-quarter inflation showing mild signs of easing. But the central bank is widely expected to keep rates higher for longer, benefiting the Aussie. 

Dollar steadies, but rate cut bets limit recovery 

The dollar index and dollar index futures rose 0.2% each on Tuesday, steadying from a fall to near seven-month lows.

The dollar was battered by fears of a U.S. recession after a batch of weak readings on the labor market.

While some labor market weakness was attributed to the impact of a recent hurricane, the soft data ramped up bets that the Federal Reserve will have to cut rates more than initially expected.

This notion battered the dollar, but offered little relief to Asian currencies as risk appetite worsened. 

Broader Asian currencies drifted lower. The Chinese yuan’s USDCNY pair rose 0.2% in anticipation of key trade and inflation data this week.

The South Korean won’s USDKRW pair rose 0.5%, while the Indian rupee’s USDINR pair hovered near record highs.

This post is originally published on INVESTING.

  • Related Posts

    Factbox-Here’s what is known about Trump’s executive orders after swearing-in

    (Reuters) -U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday began to issue what is expected to be a flurry of executive orders and directives, as he sought to put his stamp on…

    Trump signals end to new US wind power leasing

    (Reuters) – President Donald Trump on Monday signaled an end to U.S. government support for wind power, saying wind mills are ugly, expensive and harm wildlife. “We’re not going to…

    Leave a Reply

    Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

    You Missed

    Factbox-Here’s what is known about Trump’s executive orders after swearing-in

    • January 21, 2025
    Factbox-Here’s what is known about Trump’s executive orders after swearing-in

    Trump signals end to new US wind power leasing

    • January 21, 2025
    Trump signals end to new US wind power leasing

    Trump repeals 2023 memo barring Arctic oil drilling in some 16 million acres

    • January 21, 2025
    Trump repeals 2023 memo barring Arctic oil drilling in some 16 million acres

    Trump revokes Biden order that set 50% EV target for 2030

    • January 21, 2025
    Trump revokes Biden order that set 50% EV target for 2030

    Trump says to unleash American fossil fuels, halt climate cooperation

    • January 21, 2025
    Trump says to unleash American fossil fuels, halt climate cooperation

    Dollar under water on signs Trump tariffs to be gradual

    • January 21, 2025
    Dollar under water on signs Trump tariffs to be gradual