Asia FX drifts higher as dollar rebound cools ahead of GDP, inflation data

Investing.com– Most Asian currencies firmed on Thursday, albeit slightly, as a rebound in the dollar stalled ahead of key economic readings that are likely to factor into the outlook for interest rate cuts.

Regional currencies came under renewed pressure this week as the dollar recovered from 13-month lows, amid growing speculation over just by how much the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year. 

Fears of renewed trade tensions between China and the West also quashed overall sentiment. 

Dollar rebound cools with GDP, PCE tests on tap 

The dollar index and dollar index futures both fell 0.1% in Asian trade as a rebound from 13-month lows cooled.

Focus turns to a revised reading on gross domestic product data for the second quarter, due later on Thursday, for more insight into the U.S. economy.

The first reading on Q2 GDP had shown the U.S. economy remained resilient, spurring hopes that the world’s biggest economy was set for a soft landing. But robust growth also gives the Fed less impetus to cut interest rates sharply.

PCE price index data- the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge- is due on Friday and is likely to factor into the outlook for interest rates.

Traders are split between a 25 and 50 basis point cut in September, CME Fedwatch showed. 

Japanese yen steadies, Tokyo CPI awaited 

The Japanese yen steadied on Thursday after clocking a strong rally earlier this week. The USDJPY pair hovered around 144.56 yen after falling as low as 143 yen on Tuesday.

The yen was buoyed by persistent bets that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates further this year, following a string of hawkish signals from BOJ officials. But inflation data from the country somewhat ducked the BOJ’s expectations for a steady uptick in inflation.

Focus is now on consumer price index data from Tokyo, due Friday. The reading acts as a bellwether for national inflation, and is likely to factor into expectations for interest rate hikes.

Broader Asian currencies advanced after seeing some weakness earlier this week.

The Chinese yuan’s USDCNY pair fell 0.2%, buoyed by a series of stronger-than-expected midpoint fixes by the People’s Bank. 

But sentiment towards China remained dour amid fears of a trade war with the West, especially after Canada joined the U.S. and the European Union in imposing steep import tariffs on China’s electric vehicle sector. 

The Australian dollar’s AUDUSD pair rose 0.3%, extending gains from the prior session as a sticky CPI reading for July furthered expectations for a hawkish Reserve Bank, although analysts were unconvinced that the RBA will raise interest rates further.

The South Korean won’s USDKRW pair fell 0.1%, while the Singapore dollar’s USDSGD pair fell 0.2%.

The Indian rupee’s USDINR pair fell slightly after testing the 84 rupee level earlier this week, and remained subdued.

This post is originally published on INVESTING.

  • Related Posts

    Trump signals end to new US wind power leasing

    (Reuters) – President Donald Trump on Monday signaled an end to U.S. government support for wind power, saying wind mills are ugly, expensive and harm wildlife. “We’re not going to…

    Trump repeals 2023 memo barring Arctic oil drilling in some 16 million acres

    By Jarrett Renshaw (Reuters) – President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Monday repealing a 2023 memo from former President Joe Biden that barred oil drilling in some 16…

    Leave a Reply

    Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

    You Missed

    Trump signals end to new US wind power leasing

    • January 21, 2025
    Trump signals end to new US wind power leasing

    Trump repeals 2023 memo barring Arctic oil drilling in some 16 million acres

    • January 21, 2025
    Trump repeals 2023 memo barring Arctic oil drilling in some 16 million acres

    Trump revokes Biden order that set 50% EV target for 2030

    • January 21, 2025
    Trump revokes Biden order that set 50% EV target for 2030

    Trump says to unleash American fossil fuels, halt climate cooperation

    • January 21, 2025
    Trump says to unleash American fossil fuels, halt climate cooperation

    Dollar under water on signs Trump tariffs to be gradual

    • January 21, 2025
    Dollar under water on signs Trump tariffs to be gradual

    US crude futures down $1 a barrel on Trump plan to boost fossil fuel output

    • January 20, 2025
    US crude futures down $1 a barrel on Trump plan to boost fossil fuel output