Asia FX weak as yen falls from 7-mth peak; Aussie firms on hawkish RBA

Investing.com– Most Asian currencies weakened slightly on Tuesday as the dollar steadied from a recent rout, with the Japanese yen falling from seven-month peaks.

The Australian dollar was among the better performers in the region, firming after the Reserve Bank of Australia kept rates unchanged but struck a hawkish chord amid sticky inflation in the country. 

Still, sentiment towards regional markets remained fragile, especially as fears of a U.S. recession remained in play, while the unwinding of the yen carry trade also sparked widespread outflows from the region. 

Yen falls from 7-mth peak, but strong wages herald resilience

The Japanese yen weakened on Tuesday, with the USDJPY pair surging nearly 1% from its weakest levels in seven months. The pair had fallen as low as the mid-141 yen levels.

The yen benefited from increased safe haven demand as broader financial markets crashed. Hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan- which raised interest rates and flagged more hikes- also boosted the currency, as did an unwinding carry trade. 

Strong wage data– which showed a consistent pick-up in earnings through June- also furthered the BOJ’s outlook that increased wages will drive up spending and inflation this year.

But household spending data missed expectations in June, contracting more than expected from last year. 

Australian dollar firms as RBA waxes hawkish 

The Australian dollar firmed, with the AUDUSD pair rising 0.2%after the RBA kept rates steady as widely expected.

But the central bank said it will keep policy restrictive in the coming months, citing pressure from sticky inflation. While the bank did not explicitly mention the potential for more rate hikes, it said it was prepared to undertake any measures to bring down inflation.

Analysts do not expect the RBA to hike rates further, with second-quarter inflation showing mild signs of easing. But the central bank is widely expected to keep rates higher for longer, benefiting the Aussie. 

Dollar steadies, but rate cut bets limit recovery 

The dollar index and dollar index futures rose 0.2% each on Tuesday, steadying from a fall to near seven-month lows.

The dollar was battered by fears of a U.S. recession after a batch of weak readings on the labor market.

While some labor market weakness was attributed to the impact of a recent hurricane, the soft data ramped up bets that the Federal Reserve will have to cut rates more than initially expected.

This notion battered the dollar, but offered little relief to Asian currencies as risk appetite worsened. 

Broader Asian currencies drifted lower. The Chinese yuan’s USDCNY pair rose 0.2% in anticipation of key trade and inflation data this week.

The South Korean won’s USDKRW pair rose 0.5%, while the Indian rupee’s USDINR pair hovered near record highs.

This post is originally published on INVESTING.

  • Related Posts

    Kazakhstan votes on whether to build first nuclear plant

    ALMATY (Reuters) – Kazakhstan votes in a referendum on Sunday on whether to build its first nuclear power plant, an idea promoted by President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev’s government as the Central…

    Oil settles up, biggest weekly gains in over a year on Middle East war risk

    By Shariq Khan NEW YORK (Reuters) -Oil prices rose on Friday and settled with their biggest weekly gains in over a year on the mounting threat of a region-wide war…

    Leave a Reply

    Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

    You Missed

    Kazakhstan votes on whether to build first nuclear plant

    • October 6, 2024
    Kazakhstan votes on whether to build first nuclear plant

    Factors Driving Exchange Rates

    • October 5, 2024
    Factors Driving Exchange Rates

    How Central Bank Digital Currencies Could Transform Payments?

    • October 5, 2024
    How Central Bank Digital Currencies Could Transform Payments?

    The Essential Guide to Currency Pairs for Confident Forex Trading

    • October 5, 2024
    The Essential Guide to Currency Pairs for Confident Forex Trading

    Weekly Focus: Czechia Will not Regulate Prop Demo Accounts, Saxo Exits Hong Kong, and More

    • October 5, 2024
    Weekly Focus: Czechia Will not Regulate Prop Demo Accounts, Saxo Exits Hong Kong, and More

    Oil settles up, biggest weekly gains in over a year on Middle East war risk

    • October 4, 2024
    Oil settles up, biggest weekly gains in over a year on Middle East war risk